WELZER, STEVEN
G Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NJ03247- Internal id
2788bb78-90fd-43e6-8ca8-f08638202164- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,491 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $116,959 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,699 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.440 |
| Race | White alone | 64.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 15.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 70.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 46.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.9% |
| Household | Family households | 71.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $403,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,781 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.5% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NJ-3 β lost_general
Committees
- WELZER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | WELZER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |