GUINCHARD, MARY JO-ANN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NJ05150- Internal id
489bf6cb-253d-4e6b-b1e8-8cc588fbaf33- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,374 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $132,937 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $66,780 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 59.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 16.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 26.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 65.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 74.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 55.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 22.3% |
| Household | Family households | 72.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.67 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $582,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,941 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 61.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 8.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $117,995 | $119,910 | $0 | $0 | $17,364 |
| 2024 | $330,121 | $328,206 | $1,915 | $241,039 | $6,595 |
Elections
Committees
- MARY JO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,670 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-09 | NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC | support | $1,670 | Printing and Postage |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-09 | NEW JERSEY RIGHT TO LIFE COMMITTEE FEDERAL PAC | supports_independently | $1,670 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MARY JO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |