FORTE, BEAU
G Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NJ05176- Internal id
1fda8aed-f801-4b22-a329-2345e4080e68- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,374 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $132,937 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $66,780 |
| Income | In poverty | 5.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 59.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 16.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 26.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 65.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 74.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 55.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 22.3% |
| Household | Family households | 72.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.67 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $582,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,941 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 61.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 8.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.5% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NJ-5 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.