SERRANO, JON CARLOS MR.
G Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4NJ10150- Internal id
49c88c42-b0c5-4fd8-a811-f9ab6b3c568f- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 777,942 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,784 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,713 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.500 |
| Race | White alone | 20.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 48.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 32.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 61.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.9% |
| Household | Family households | 61.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.62 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 46.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $443,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,522 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 28.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 7.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 53.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 18.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.8% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NJ-10 β lost_general
Committees
- JON SERRANO FOR THE U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES β principal Β· type H
- THE JON SERRANO CAMPAIGN β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | THE JON SERRANO CAMPAIGN | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JON SERRANO FOR THE U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES | β | candidate_committees |