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FERREIRA, TIM "TJ"

L Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4NV04157
Internal id
850d574b-ed71-465e-a6b3-0f418417deb5
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NV-04. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation813,654
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$74,580
IncomePer-capita income$34,786
IncomeIn poverty13.6%
IncomeUnemployed7.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.441
RaceWhite alone42.4%
RaceBlack alone15.6%
RaceAsian alone5.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino35.9%
RaceTwo or more races19.3%
OriginForeign-born17.8%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home68.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home25.7%
EducationHigh school or higher52.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher21.2%
EducationAdvanced degree7.2%
HouseholdFamily households67.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.84
HouseholdNever married (15+)36.4%
HousingMedian home value$393,900
HousingMedian gross rent$1,570
HousingSingle-family detached66.6%
HousingBuilt before 19400.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.9%
HousingVacant units8.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.9%
HealthWith a disability14.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.9%
CommuteDrove alone73.5%
CommutePublic transit2.0%
CommuteWorked from home9.4%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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