FORBES, MICHAEL P
D Β· house Β· bioguide F000257
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY01055- Internal id
f6afdda8-fb26-4932-a036-be138aa48415- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 778,092 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $134,242 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $63,494 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.457 |
| Race | White alone | 74.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 15.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 81.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 46.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 22.2% |
| Household | Family households | 71.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.75 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $628,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,309 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 82.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 15.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | $714 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $1,368,529 | $1,504,934 | $-706 | $0 | $748,150 |
| 1998 | $883,395 | $874,633 | $135,694 | $28,623 | $510,104 |
| 1996 | $1,040,813 | $918,162 | $126,933 | $55,135 | $614,669 |
| 1994 | $270,215 | $265,930 | $4,282 | $19,000 | $151,451 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· NY-1 β won
- 1996 general house Β· NY-1 β won
- 1998 general house Β· NY-1 β won
- 2000 general house Β· NY-1 β lost_general
Committees
- FRIENDS OF MIKE FORBES β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (9)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | educated_at | State University of New York at Albany | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Westhampton Beach High School | β | wikidata | |
| β | employed_by | Small Business Administration | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | State University of New York | β | wikidata | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF MIKE FORBES | β | candidate_committees | |
| 1999-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1997-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1995-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1995-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata |