CORNICELLI, ROBERT M
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY02046- Internal id
b5f9c1f8-275e-4fae-bb25-76147f35095f- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,282 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $128,330 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,160 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.412 |
| Race | White alone | 59.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 29.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 19.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 70.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 21.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.8% |
| Household | Family households | 74.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.14 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $529,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,204 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 78.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 5.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $6,786 | $6,786 | $0 | $0 | $5,786 |
Elections
- 2004 general house Β· NY-2 β lost_general
Committees
- CORNICELLI FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-17 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $12,000 |
| 2022-08-17 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $4,000 |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $17,000 |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY FUND | 24E | $20,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-17 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $12,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $20,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-11 | AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC | contributed_to | $17,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CORNICELLI FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |