HUGHES, SARAH
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY04166- Internal id
18e033f6-5426-4cfc-881d-f2b0d9c961ee- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 773,177 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $141,082 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $57,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.432 |
| Race | White alone | 51.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 7.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 24.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 69.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 16.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 68.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 44.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 19.9% |
| Household | Family households | 76.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.06 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $648,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,147 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 74.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 13.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 60.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 12.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $110,147 | $110,147 | $0 | $0 | $109,826 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NY-4 β lost_general
Committees
- SARAH HUGHES FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SARAH HUGHES FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |