VEGA, JOSE DAVID
D · house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY15147- Internal id
57b95be4-1c64-41a1-a3bc-2a8a40cce2f3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 751,695 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $47,075 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $27,148 |
| Income | In poverty | 29.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 12.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.533 |
| Race | White alone | 13.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 36.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 52.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 34.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 44.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 43.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 22.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.7% |
| Household | Family households | 61.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 50.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $532,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,418 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 5.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 12.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 21.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 53.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $205,962 | $203,959 | $3,276 | $0 | $204,462 |
| 2024 | $166,049 | $164,775 | $1,273 | $0 | $157,111 |
Elections
Committees
- VEGA FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2025-12-29 | ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC | 24K | $750 |
| 2025-10-27 | ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC | 24K | $750 |
| 2025-07-02 | SARE FOR SENATE | 24K | $400 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee VEGA FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KELLEY, EDWARD F | RETIRE · EX BUSINESSMAN | ST. PETERSBURG, FL | 1 | $3,500 |
| LATHROP, ANDREW | FERMILAB · SR. TECH SPEC. | BRISTOL, IL | 1 | $1,030 |
| TODD, BRUCE | RETIRED · RETIRED | OCEAN TOWNSHIP, NJ | 2 | $615 |
| VELLA, MARIO | SELF · SELF EMPLOYED | WESLEY CHAPEL, FL | 1 | $515 |
| CARRILLO, GABRIEL | NONE · UNEMPLOYED | BRONX, NY | 1 | $515 |
| DONNELLY, JAMES H. | N/A · RETIRED | HARTFORD, CT | 1 | $515 |
| BESHARA, MATHEW N | SELF · PHYSICIAN | PHILADELPHIA, PA | 1 | $500 |
| STACER, JUD | EXPERIS · SOFTWARE DEVELOPER | ATHENS, GA | 1 | $400 |
| BURKE, DANIEL | SELF-EMPLOYED · TUTOR | RIVER EDGE, NJ | 1 | $257 |
| YOUNES, JACK | UPS · VICE PRESIDENT | ORLANDO, FL | 1 | $250 |
| GISKE, HOWARD JOSEPH | IPG · PROOFREADER | THE BRONX, NY | 1 | $250 |
| WHITE, JESSICA L. | NA · RETIRED | BALDWIN, NY | 1 | $206 |
| MEYERS, JOE | SELF · SELF | DELANO, MN | 1 | $206 |
| SANTIAGO, ELIAS | FIVE STAR HHA · HOME HEALTH AIDE | BROOKLYN, NY | 2 | $154 |
| MAHONEY, MICHAEL | SELF · RETIRED FOREST WORKER | GLENDALE, OR | 1 | $103 |
| DENIZARD, SHANE | MIDHUDSON REGIONAL HOSPITAL · RADIOLOGY ASSISTANT | HYDE PARK, NY | 1 | $103 |
| FERGUSON, JAMES A | SELF EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN | BRIGHTWATERS, NY | 1 | $103 |
| HALLAREN, JEREMIAH W | DISABLED · RETIRED | ABINGTON, MA | 1 | $103 |
| BAKAEV, ALEX | DTEX SYSTEMS · SOFTWARE MONKEY | SANTA BARBARA, CA | 1 | $103 |
| NAFZIGER, KAREN R | N/A · RETIRED | WOODLAWN, MD | 1 | $103 |
| STAMPS, JAMES K | RETIRED · RETIRED | BELLEVILLE, MI | 1 | $103 |
| BOUWHUIS, JASON R | N/A · N/A | TUSTIN, CA | 1 | $100 |
| EARLEY, BRIAN A | RETIRED · RETIRED | NORTH EASTHAM, MA | 1 | $100 |
| SMITH, OMAR | NYC · N/A | EAST ELMHURST, NY | 1 | $100 |
| PETERSON, ALLEN | PCSO · DEPUTY | HERTFORD, NC | 1 | $51 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-29 | ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $750 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-27 | ANTI-ZIONIST AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $750 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-02 | SARE FOR SENATE | contributed_to | $400 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | VEGA FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees |