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DACOSTA FASCIGLIONE, JOY

I Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4NY19164
Internal id
8d48e256-353b-4d59-9276-d01ee25d28da
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-19. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation774,788
PeopleMedian age42
IncomeMedian household income$73,134
IncomePer-capita income$41,734
IncomeIn poverty14.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.472
RaceWhite alone81.7%
RaceBlack alone4.4%
RaceAsian alone3.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino7.3%
RaceTwo or more races7.1%
OriginForeign-born7.4%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home89.2%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home4.1%
EducationHigh school or higher64.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.3%
EducationAdvanced degree17.0%
HouseholdFamily households58.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.26
HouseholdNever married (15+)36.5%
HousingMedian home value$222,900
HousingMedian gross rent$1,091
HousingSingle-family detached67.0%
HousingBuilt before 19405.9%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.8%
HousingVacant units20.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.8%
HealthWith a disability14.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.4%
CommuteDrove alone69.5%
CommutePublic transit2.2%
CommuteWorked from home13.6%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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