ROULEAU, BRIAN R MR.
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY21137- Internal id
8b9be690-8edd-486f-b622-1c56d1ae53ba- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-21. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,419 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,983 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,135 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 89.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.3% |
| Household | Family households | 61.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.27 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $180,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $973 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 20.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Elections
Committees
- BRIAN FOR NY-21 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRIAN FOR NY-21 | β | candidate_committees |