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WAGENHAUSER, DAVID

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4NY24131
Internal id
d198e91c-28cd-4eda-bceb-8536f24a0f7c
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-24. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation771,272
PeopleMedian age42
IncomeMedian household income$72,690
IncomePer-capita income$38,503
IncomeIn poverty12.3%
IncomeUnemployed4.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.431
RaceWhite alone89.1%
RaceBlack alone2.5%
RaceAsian alone0.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.3%
RaceTwo or more races5.6%
OriginForeign-born3.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home2.3%
EducationHigh school or higher59.2%
EducationBachelor's or higher25.9%
EducationAdvanced degree11.2%
HouseholdFamily households62.5%
HouseholdAvg household size2.30
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.3%
HousingMedian home value$172,200
HousingMedian gross rent$959
HousingSingle-family detached70.4%
HousingBuilt before 19404.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.4%
HousingVacant units14.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.8%
HealthWith a disability15.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.2%
CommuteDrove alone77.6%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home9.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$97,274$95,433$1,841$0$84,481

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofDAVID WAGENHAUSER FOR UPSTATE NYβ€”candidate_committees

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