SPEAKER, JAMES PAUL
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY26060- Internal id
86fa85ea-e6b1-4c05-a800-70fed6d18e1e- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-26. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,895 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,395 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,777 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 67.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.9% |
| Household | Family households | 54.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.22 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $208,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,063 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.4% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NY-26 β lost_general
Committees
- SPEAKER FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SPEAKER FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |