CLARK, PAUL T
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY27068- Internal id
f3036edb-6d10-47dd-999f-ab4ad8f4b88a- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $0 | $77 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $5,204 | $5,230 | $77 | $109,300 | $5,204 |
| 2004 | $511,260 | $511,157 | $103 | $114,500 | $221,290 |
Elections
- 2004 general house Β· NY-27 β lost_general
Committees
- CLARK FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CLARK FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |