KOLB, BRIAN M
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY29106- Internal id
3366f99b-5a3a-4e75-9bda-1f65fa953159- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3,000 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3,000 | $0 |
| 2016 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3,000 | $0 |
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3,000 | $0 |
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $3,000 | $0 |
| 2010 | $0 | $41 | $0 | $3,000 | $0 |
| 2008 | $0 | $206 | $41 | $3,000 | $0 |
| 2006 | $5,771 | $6,068 | $247 | $3,000 | $0 |
| 2004 | $148,550 | $148,006 | $544 | $3,000 | $118,425 |
Elections
- 2004 general house Β· NY-29 β lost_general
Committees
- KOLB FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KOLB FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |