SONZA, ORLANDO
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H4OH01109- Internal id
f5df46cb-d3e5-48d1-b90a-cf063c91150d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 794,614 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $80,294 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,207 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.516 |
| Race | White alone | 68.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 69.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 46.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 19.6% |
| Household | Family households | 58.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.33 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $299,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,088 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 58.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.0% |
Elections
- 2024 general house · OH-1 — lost_general
Committees
- SOUTHWEST OHIO LEADERSHIP PAC — leadership · type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $470,683 | $0 | 36 |
Recent (latest 25)
Connected on the graph
Inbound (36)
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | leadership_committee_of | SOUTHWEST OHIO LEADERSHIP PAC | — | candidate_committees |