WILKIN, SHANE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4OH02230- Internal id
87b92764-8206-4da9-9b11-4cd9120835e2- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 787,099 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $66,384 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,071 |
| Income | In poverty | 15.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.456 |
| Race | White alone | 92.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 1.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 3.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 97.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 0.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 21.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.9% |
| Household | Family households | 66.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.46 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $195,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $896 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 72.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 80.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $202,779 | $203,149 | $-370 | $0 | $166,087 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· OH-2 β lost_general
Committees
- WILKIN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $74,107 | $0 | 4 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-15 | SOUTHERN OHIO CONSERVATIVES PAC | support | $6,000 | Text Messages |
| 2024-03-13 | SOUTHERN OHIO CONSERVATIVES PAC | support | $18,045 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-03-11 | SOUTHERN OHIO CONSERVATIVES PAC | support | $26,541 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-02-29 | SOUTHERN OHIO CONSERVATIVES PAC | support | $23,521 | Direct Mail |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (4)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-15 | SOUTHERN OHIO CONSERVATIVES PAC | supports_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-13 | SOUTHERN OHIO CONSERVATIVES PAC | supports_independently | $18,045 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-11 | SOUTHERN OHIO CONSERVATIVES PAC | supports_independently | $26,541 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | SOUTHERN OHIO CONSERVATIVES PAC | supports_independently | $23,521 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | WILKIN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |