SONS, LUCAS
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4OH05068- Internal id
900c510e-b2ee-4923-83ab-5cb0cbb34441- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 788,570 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,027 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $37,911 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.441 |
| Race | White alone | 85.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.4% |
| Household | Family households | 63.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $190,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $897 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 76.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 80.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.6% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· OH-5 β lost_general
Committees
- SONS 2024 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SONS 2024 | β | candidate_committees |