COUGHLIN, KEVIN

R · house

FEC candidate id: H4OH13153
Internal id: 507e8960-8c80-4941-86bf-53574fbf47e3
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-13. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	783,308
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$70,696
Income	Per-capita income	$41,662
Income	In poverty	12.7%
Income	Unemployed	4.8%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.470
Race	White alone	76.3%
Race	Black alone	12.3%
Race	Asian alone	3.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	3.0%
Race	Two or more races	7.0%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	93.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.4%
Education	High school or higher	64.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.0%
Education	Advanced degree	12.6%
Household	Family households	60.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.30
Household	Never married (15+)	33.3%
Housing	Median home value	$206,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$980
Housing	Single-family detached	72.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.6%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.0%
Housing	Vacant units	6.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.3%
Health	With a disability	13.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.5%
Commute	Drove alone	75.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.8%
Commute	Worked from home	14.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$4,604	$0	$0	$0
2024	$1,662,607	$1,605,989	$56,618	$0	$777,812

Elections

2024 general house · OH-13 — lost_general
2026 general house · OH-13 — running

Committees

COUGHLIN FOR CONGRESS-GTM NF OH13 — principal · type H
COUGHLIN FOR OH-13 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024 — principal · type H
ONE COUNTRY ONE DESTINY PAC — principal · type H
ONE COUNTRY ONE DESTINY PAC — independent · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$743,714	$10,252,446	122

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$5,421	CANVASSING
—	HMP	oppose	$7,494	Media Production - Estimate
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$9,050	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$9,050	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$9,300	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$4,525	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICAN JOBS AND GROWTH PAC	oppose	$11,517	Direct Mail
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$56,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$2,400	DOOR HANGER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,800	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$3,875	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,800	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$162,500	MEDIA PLACEMENT
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$9,018	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,800	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,800	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,800	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$5,973	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$8,998	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$1,800	MEDIA PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$59,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$9,098	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$56,000	MEDIA PLACEMENT
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTI…	support	$9,041	MAILER PRODUCTION
—	HMP	oppose	$22,490	Digital Production - Estimate

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee ONE COUNTRY ONE DESTINY PAC.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
WENZEL, PHILIP	RING LTD · MARKETING	POWELL, OH	1	$3,500
LENNON, WILLIAM	CONCORD CAPITAL · SALES	WILLOUGHBY, OH	1	$1,000
BRADEN, CURT	SELF · REALTOR	NORTH CANTON, OH	1	$1,000
ROBINSON, DAVID	MONTROSE GROUP · PRINCIPLE	COLUMBUS, OH	1	$1,000
ELSASSER, JON	RETIRED · RETIRED	ZOAR, OH	1	$1,000
MYHAL, DAVID	316 GROUP · OWNER	WESTERVILLE, OH	1	$500
ROTH, EDWARD	RETIRED · RETIRED	CANTON, OH	1	$500
SMITH, JEFF	OIA · LAWYER	POWELL, OH	1	$500
ASH, JON DR.	DR ASH INC · DENTIST	CANTON, OH	1	$500
HARTLEY, MICHAEL	MICHAEL HARTLEY · PRESIDENT	CIRCLEVILLE, OH	1	$500
JACOBSON, JEFF	STRATEGIC INSIGHT GROUP · CONSULTANT	GALENA, OH	1	$500
TRIPLETT, MICHAEL	CARMEN PARNTERS · BIOTECH VENTURE	NEW ALBANY, OH	1	$500
THOMSON, DAVID	RETIRED · RETIRED	CANTON, OH	1	$250
WYRICK, SUZANNE	SELF · RE BROKER	CORONA DEL MAR, CA	1	$104
DAUGHERTY, KATHY	RETIRED · RETIRED	NEWBURGH, IN	5	$96
LONGSHORE, DONALD	SUMMIT RACING EQUIPMENT	AKRON, OH	1	$25
HUBER, STEVE	RETIRED · RETIRED	HILLSBORO, IL	1	$2

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$539,852	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$28,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,920	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,920	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$781,298	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$36,266	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$4,250	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$14,285	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$7,494	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$345,600	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$493,761	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$28,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,920	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,222	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$781,298	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$28,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$25,920	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$22,490	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$7,494	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$4,250	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$345,600	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$22,490	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$28,333	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$864,613	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,973	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,400	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,875	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$56,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$56,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$162,500	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$9,018	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,800	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$8,998	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$59,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$9,098	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$9,041	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$9,050	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$9,050	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,421	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$4,525	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$9,300	fec_ies
—	AMERICAN JOBS AND GROWTH PAC	opposes_independently	$11,517	fec_ies
2024-11-05	OHIO REPUBLICAN PARTY STATE CENTRAL & EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$9,012	fec_ies
2024-11-01	SEAL PAC SUPPORTING ELECTING AMERICAN LEADERS PAC	supports_independently	$12,500	fec_ies
2024-10-31	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$1,192	fec_ies
2024-10-28	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$21,162	fec_ies
2024-10-25	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$299,814	fec_ies
2024-10-25	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$21,162	fec_ies
2024-10-25	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$299,814	fec_ies
2024-10-24	DCCC	opposes_independently	$44,000	fec_ies
2024-10-24	GOA VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$4,965	fec_ies
2024-10-24	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,938	fec_ies
2024-10-23	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$13	fec_ies
2024-10-22	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$21,162	fec_ies
2024-10-21	GOA VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$16,477	fec_ies
2024-10-21	LCV VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$14,795	fec_ies
2024-10-21	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$1,116	fec_ies
2024-10-18	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$50	fec_ies
2024-10-18	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$558	fec_ies
2024-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$165	fec_ies
2024-10-17	DCCC	opposes_independently	$44,000	fec_ies
2024-10-17	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,938	fec_ies
2024-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$3,354	fec_ies
2024-10-17	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$10,581	fec_ies
2024-10-16	DMFI PAC	opposes_independently	$167,724	fec_ies
2024-10-16	AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION	supports_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2024-10-15	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$7,741	fec_ies
2024-10-15	DCCC	opposes_independently	$4,300	fec_ies
2024-10-15	DCCC	opposes_independently	$14,533	fec_ies
2024-10-15	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$7,741	fec_ies
2024-10-10	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$119,997	fec_ies
2024-10-10	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,938	fec_ies
2024-10-10	DCCC	opposes_independently	$44,000	fec_ies
2024-10-10	WOMEN VOTE	opposes_independently	$119,997	fec_ies
2024-10-03	DCCC	opposes_independently	$116,671	fec_ies
2024-10-03	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,938	fec_ies
2024-10-03	DCCC	opposes_independently	$44,000	fec_ies
2024-10-03	DCCC	opposes_independently	$709,610	fec_ies
2024-10-02	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$13	fec_ies
2024-10-02	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$545	fec_ies
2024-10-01	OHIOANS UNITED FOR PUBLIC EDUCATION	opposes_independently	$25,946	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$718,480	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$718,480	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$116,501	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$44,000	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,938	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$116,501	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$44,000	fec_ies
2024-09-26	DCCC	opposes_independently	$15,938	fec_ies
2024-09-24	DCCC	opposes_independently	$14,311	fec_ies
2024-09-24	DCCC	opposes_independently	$14,701	fec_ies
2024-09-24	DCCC	opposes_independently	$14,311	fec_ies
2024-09-24	DCCC	opposes_independently	$11,753	fec_ies

Outbound (4)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	ONE COUNTRY ONE DESTINY PAC	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	COUGHLIN FOR OH-13 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	COUGHLIN FOR CONGRESS-GTM NF OH13	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	ONE COUNTRY ONE DESTINY PAC	—	candidate_committees

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