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TODD, BOB

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4OR01147
Internal id
ac7b3d56-b6f5-4197-9058-e4826530d794
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-01. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation707,875
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$98,323
IncomePer-capita income$56,010
IncomeIn poverty9.6%
IncomeUnemployed4.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.459
RaceWhite alone67.6%
RaceBlack alone2.4%
RaceAsian alone9.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino15.8%
RaceTwo or more races13.0%
OriginForeign-born15.2%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home78.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home9.9%
EducationHigh school or higher65.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher47.8%
EducationAdvanced degree20.0%
HouseholdFamily households57.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.32
HouseholdNever married (15+)35.0%
HousingMedian home value$573,700
HousingMedian gross rent$1,725
HousingSingle-family detached53.2%
HousingBuilt before 19403.9%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.1%
HousingVacant units8.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.2%
HealthWith a disability13.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.2%
CommuteDrove alone57.5%
CommutePublic transit4.0%
CommuteWorked from home24.4%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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