HALFHILL, ADAM SCOTT
OTHER Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H4PA14114- Internal id
b8d3a2a9-dc1c-4352-9adf-0241f6449a4e- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-14. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 757,997 |
| People | Median age | 45 |
| Income | Median household income | $67,375 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,732 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.455 |
| Race | White alone | 91.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 1.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.9% |
| Household | Family households | 61.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.25 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $176,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $847 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 73.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 0.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.1% |
Elections
Committees
- INDEPENDENT COMMITTEE TO ELECT ADAM HALFHILL β principal Β· type H
- THE AMERICAN INDEPENDENT PARTY OF PENNSYLVANIA β independent Β· type X
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | THE AMERICAN INDEPENDENT PARTY OF PENNSYLVANIA | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | INDEPENDENT COMMITTEE TO ELECT ADAM HALFHILL | β | candidate_committees |