MERCURI, ROBERT W
R · house
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- FEC candidate id
H4PA17166- Internal id
30e480c7-9b54-4653-92b3-e7fd61e06992- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-17. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 754,615 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $85,933 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $52,072 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 83.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 71.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 45.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.8% |
| Household | Family households | 60.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.26 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $239,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,107 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 68.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 8.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 0.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,802,095 | $1,773,205 | $28,890 | $0 | $874,989 |
Elections
- 2024 general house · PA-17 — lost_general
Committees
- THIS WE'LL DEFEND PAC — principal · type N
- THIS WE'LL DEFEND PAC — independent · type N
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $333,255 | $473,049 | 32 |
Recent (latest 25)
Connected on the graph
Inbound (32)
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | independent_committee_of | THIS WE'LL DEFEND PAC | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | THIS WE'LL DEFEND PAC | — | candidate_committees |