YOUNG, JAMES ALAN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4PA21010- Internal id
9f7dde5d-5fab-43ea-9e61-e8dd3a1270f7- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | $0 | $0 | $76 | $10,187 | $0 |
| 1992 | $0 | $0 | $76 | $10,187 | $0 |
| 1990 | $0 | $10 | $76 | $10,187 | $0 |
| 1988 | $3,248 | $3,190 | $86 | $10,187 | $0 |
| 1986 | $1,585 | $1,555 | $30 | $12,810 | $0 |
| 1984 | $147,285 | $147,283 | $2 | $13,629 | $31,373 |
Elections
- 1984 general house Β· PA-21 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.