LYNCH, JUDITH M
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4PA21077- Internal id
041f71f6-a872-46bd-aef1-55ce603359c4- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | $10,265 | $16,375 | $906 | $25,990 | $8,981 |
| 1996 | $27,935 | $28,004 | $7,015 | $38,809 | $23,937 |
| 1994 | $139,043 | $131,958 | $7,084 | $58,790 | $55,098 |
Elections
- 1994 general house Β· PA-21 β lost_general
Committees
- JUDY LYNCH CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JUDY LYNCH CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |