VIVONI, MIGUEL HERNANDEZ
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4PR00095- Internal id
debdf9b1-5507-48b9-b828-359a399721b9- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $0 | $0 | $-483 | $9,968 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $0 | $-483 | $9,968 | $0 |
| 2016 | $22,000 | $27,285 | $-483 | $9,968 | $22,000 |
| 2014 | $20,100 | $15,297 | $4,803 | $0 | $20,100 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- HERNANDEZ VIVONI INC β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HERNANDEZ VIVONI INC | β | candidate_committees |