REGUNBERG, AARON
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4RI01216- Internal id
c1d74bf2-1df1-4a72-a49f-8e3300828a6a- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), RI-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 546,488 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $82,508 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,263 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.475 |
| Race | White alone | 65.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 19.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 18.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 72.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 38.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.8% |
| Household | Family households | 60.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $417,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,325 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 47.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $170 | $10,340 | $3,189 | $58,217 | $0 |
| 2024 | $796,444 | $783,085 | $13,359 | $58,217 | $675,469 |
Elections
- 2023 general house Β· RI-1 β running
Committees
- AARON REGUNBERG FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $551,140 | $81,000 | 13 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-01 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | support | $6,250 | Digital Ad buy |
| 2023-08-29 | COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER RHODE ISLAND | oppose | $15,000 | TV Production - Risk |
| 2023-08-29 | BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT⦠| support | $1,050 | Internet Ads |
| 2023-08-28 | COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER RHODE ISLAND | oppose | $66,000 | TV Media - 'Risk' |
| 2023-08-28 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | support | $100,000 | TV Ads |
| 2023-08-23 | MEDICARE FOR ALL | support | $25,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2023-08-18 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | support | $150,000 | Digital and TV Ads |
| 2023-08-18 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | support | $150,000 | Digital Ads |
| 2023-08-14 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | support | $18,160 | Direct Mail Printing, Postage and Shipping |
| 2023-08-10 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | support | $18,160 | Direct Mail Printing, Postage and Shipping |
| 2023-08-08 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | support | $18,160 | Direct Mail Printing, Postage and Shipping |
| 2023-08-01 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | support | $18,160 | ESTIMATED: Printing, Postage and Shipping |
| 2023-08-01 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | support | $46,200 | ESTIMATED: Research |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (13)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-01 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | supports_independently | $6,250 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-29 | COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER RHODE ISLAND | opposes_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-29 | BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $1,050 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-28 | COMMITTEE FOR A BETTER RHODE ISLAND | opposes_independently | $66,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-28 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-23 | MEDICARE FOR ALL | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-18 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $150,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-18 | WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC | supports_independently | $150,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-14 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | supports_independently | $18,160 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-10 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | supports_independently | $18,160 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-08 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | supports_independently | $18,160 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-01 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | supports_independently | $18,160 | fec_ies | |
| 2023-08-01 | PROGRESS RHODE ISLAND | supports_independently | $46,200 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | AARON REGUNBERG FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |