DEFORD, WILLIAM MCADOO MAC
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4SC01305- Internal id
d05307db-f7b7-4e18-b5aa-9b2e28617aae- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), SC-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 763,792 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $90,436 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $51,517 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 69.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 17.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 8.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 90.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 5.8% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.9% |
| Household | Family households | 67.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 27.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $407,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,706 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 11.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $472,600 | $472,600 | $0 | $0 | $352,998 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· SC-1 β lost_general
Committees
- DEFORD FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $52,881 | $0 | 5 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-28 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | support | $12,424 | Direct Mail - 6/3 |
| 2024-05-24 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | support | $7,836 | Direct Mail - 5/31 |
| 2024-05-23 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | support | $7,725 | Direct Mail - 5/28 |
| 2024-05-21 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | support | $16,283 | Direct Mail - 5/21-5/24 |
| 2024-05-15 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | support | $8,612 | Direct Mail - 5/19 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (5)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-28 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | supports_independently | $12,424 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-24 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | supports_independently | $7,836 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-23 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | supports_independently | $7,725 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-21 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | supports_independently | $16,283 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-15 | UNITEDEMOCRATS PAC | supports_independently | $8,612 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DEFORD FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |