SOUTHARD, MATTHEW SCOTT MR
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX06240- Internal id
7d3ee78d-18ce-4424-8e85-7262aa6af0e8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 793,946 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,905 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,515 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.433 |
| Race | White alone | 52.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 14.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 34.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 18.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 68.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 26.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.7% |
| Household | Family households | 73.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.89 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $277,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,480 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.4% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TX-6 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.