O'SHEA, JOHN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX12057- Internal id
6fa8ea85-573a-405f-993a-c94f97400555- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 816,916 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $87,454 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,761 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 60.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 24.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.2% |
| Household | Family households | 65.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $327,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,562 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $24,200 | $32,024 | $2,108 | $122,241 | $0 |
| 2024 | $351,914 | $341,661 | $9,932 | $113,923 | $200,869 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TX-12 β lost_general
Committees
- JOHN O'SHEA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $8,000 | $188,222 | 18 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | support | $2,000 | Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate) |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | support | $1,000 | Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate) |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | support | $1,000 | Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate) |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | support | $1,000 | Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate) |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | support | $2,000 | Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate) |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | support | $1,000 | Peer-to-peer messaging (estimate) |
| 2024-05-24 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $611 | TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES |
| 2024-05-23 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $1,380 | TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES |
| 2024-05-21 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $907 | TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES |
| 2024-05-21 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $1,532 | TEXT MESSAGE SERVICES |
| 2024-05-14 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $22,999 | CREATIVE DESIGN SERVICES / PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-05-13 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $22,999 | CREATIVE DESIGN SERVICES / PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-05-10 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $49,600 | DIGITAL PRODUCTION & ADVERTISEMENT |
| 2024-05-09 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $10,454 | CREATIVE DESIGN SERVICES / PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-05-09 | AMERICA LEADS ACTION INC. | oppose | $10,454 | CREATIVE DESIGN SERVICES / PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-02-28 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $13,751 | DIRECT MAIL SERVICES |
| 2024-02-26 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $25,409 | DIRECT MAIL SERVICES |
| 2024-02-23 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | oppose | $28,124 | DIRECT MAIL SERVICES |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (18)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | supports_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | supports_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | AMERICAN PRINCIPLES PROJECT PAC | supports_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-24 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $611 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-23 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $1,380 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-21 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $1,532 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-21 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $907 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-14 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $22,999 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-13 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $22,999 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-10 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $49,600 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-09 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $10,454 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-05-09 | AMERICA LEADS | opposes_independently | $10,454 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $13,751 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-26 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $25,409 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-23 | CONSERVATIVES FOR AMERICAN EXCELLENCE INC. | opposes_independently | $28,124 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN O'SHEA FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |