GEHRIG, SEBASTIAN KENNETH
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX12107- Internal id
2ca84bef-7bd9-41dd-aee7-d63cb40ddcd5- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 816,916 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $87,454 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,761 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.461 |
| Race | White alone | 60.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 24.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.2% |
| Household | Family households | 65.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $327,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,562 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.5% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TX-12 β lost_general
Committees
- SEBASTIAN GEHRIG FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | SEBASTIAN GEHRIG FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |