WARREN, LUKE
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX13089- Internal id
c41a7d41-8236-4447-ac1d-a5dfb8575f65- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,513 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $68,442 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,233 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.456 |
| Race | White alone | 67.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 6.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 28.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 10.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 79.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 17.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.6% |
| Household | Family households | 64.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.55 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $192,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,118 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.8% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TX-13 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.