CHURCHILL, VANGELA
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX15134- Internal id
9621f5d6-4edb-4973-aadd-bf623966ef48- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-15. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 790,465 |
| People | Median age | 33 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,751 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $27,084 |
| Income | In poverty | 23.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.480 |
| Race | White alone | 33.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 81.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 52.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 32.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 66.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 22.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.3% |
| Household | Family households | 75.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.06 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $169,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $992 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 8.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 10.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $5,645 | $5,645 | $0 | $0 | $5,260 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TX-15 β lost_general
Committees
- CHURCHILL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CHURCHILL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |