COLE, BAILEY
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX28137- Internal id
de75308e-845c-4272-8e44-401fa607e591- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-28. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 789,743 |
| People | Median age | 34 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,728 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $28,280 |
| Income | In poverty | 19.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.449 |
| Race | White alone | 35.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 75.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 45.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 43.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 55.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 49.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 21.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 6.7% |
| Household | Family households | 73.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.03 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $201,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,132 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.5% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TX-28 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.