TRAN, ASHLEY
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX32154- Internal id
06684109-a0fa-4fe7-ae63-2a41dc7aea4f- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-32. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 767,505 |
| People | Median age | 33 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,034 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,812 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.483 |
| Race | White alone | 37.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 20.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 36.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 22.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 26.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 57.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 29.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 40.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.4% |
| Household | Family households | 54.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $347,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,511 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 37.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 6.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.6% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· TX-32 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 10.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.