BAGBY, LAMONT
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4VA04058- Internal id
f31a2c13-c638-463e-832a-72a4744734ad- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 796,326 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,751 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,642 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.455 |
| Race | White alone | 42.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 41.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.6% |
| Household | Family households | 57.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.34 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $285,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,354 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 62.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $43,703 | $43,703 | $0 | $0 | $37,375 |
Elections
- 2023 general house Β· VA-4 β lost_general
Committees
- BAGBY FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-16 | SECURE PROGRESS | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-12-14 | SECURE PROGRESS | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-12-13 | SD PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-16 | SECURE PROGRESS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-12-16 | SECURE PROGRESS | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-14 | SECURE PROGRESS | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $500 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-12-14 | SECURE PROGRESS | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-13 | SD PAC | committee_contributed_to_candidate | $5,000 | 24K | fec_pas2 |
| 2022-12-13 | SD PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BAGBY FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |