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MITCHELL, KEN

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H4VA06061
Internal id
0977b3a0-4451-487b-b0f0-806fd9eeb03c
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-06. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation790,761
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$71,978
IncomePer-capita income$39,028
IncomeIn poverty11.9%
IncomeUnemployed4.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.451
RaceWhite alone79.1%
RaceBlack alone8.2%
RaceAsian alone1.7%
RaceHispanic or Latino8.6%
RaceTwo or more races7.1%
OriginForeign-born6.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home90.6%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.3%
EducationHigh school or higher62.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher28.7%
EducationAdvanced degree11.5%
HouseholdFamily households62.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.42
HouseholdNever married (15+)32.7%
HousingMedian home value$285,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,109
HousingSingle-family detached72.1%
HousingBuilt before 19405.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.9%
HousingVacant units10.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.5%
HealthWith a disability14.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband87.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.1%
CommuteDrove alone76.4%
CommutePublic transit0.6%
CommuteWorked from home10.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$125,915$117,468$62,220$31,000$92,409
2024$242,531$188,758$53,773$1,000$211,860

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$1,137$02

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2024-10-29RURAL GROUNDGAME 3Xsupport$117Print Advertising
2024-10-28RURAL GROUNDGAME 3Xsupport$1,020Print Advertisement

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee KENMITCHELLFORVA.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
WORTH, MELYNIFOXDEN EQUINE Β· NUTRITIONISTSTUARTS DRAFT, VA1$100
COMANOR, JOANNOT EMPLOYED Β· RETIREDWOODSTOCK, VA1$25
DERRICKSON, SCOTTNOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDFRONT ROYAL, VA1$25
HOUSER, BETHNOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDLEXINGTON, VA1$25
BERBERICH, ROSENOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDWINCHESTER, VA1$25
MCGREER-MINEZ, DONNELLANOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDSTAUNTON, VA1$25
REDUS, MARYNOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDVINTON, VA1$25
SCHARRER, WILLIAMNOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDROANOKE, VA1$25
KILBOURN, MASONNOT EMPLOYED Β· NOT EMPLOYEDSTAUNTON, VA1$25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2024-10-29RURAL GROUNDGAME 3Xsupports_independently$117fec_ies
2024-10-28RURAL GROUNDGAME 3Xsupports_independently$1,020fec_ies

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofKENMITCHELLFORVAβ€”candidate_committees

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