CONROY, CARMELA

D · house

FEC candidate id: H4WA05168
Internal id: 74406eab-2b10-4fee-b273-c0278a69d6da
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-05. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	788,007
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$75,273
Income	Per-capita income	$40,316
Income	In poverty	12.5%
Income	Unemployed	5.5%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.457
Race	White alone	81.2%
Race	Black alone	1.8%
Race	Asian alone	2.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.8%
Race	Two or more races	9.7%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	91.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.3%
Education	High school or higher	56.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	31.7%
Education	Advanced degree	12.0%
Household	Family households	61.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.43
Household	Never married (15+)	32.5%
Housing	Median home value	$393,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,212
Housing	Single-family detached	65.7%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.5%
Housing	Vacant units	8.1%
Service	Veterans (18+)	9.2%
Health	With a disability	16.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.1%
Commute	Drove alone	70.0%
Commute	Public transit	1.6%
Commute	Worked from home	14.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$300,714	$164,611	$149,244	$14,599	$282,301
2024	$604,596	$591,454	$13,142	$0	$554,100

Elections

2024 general house · WA-5 — lost_general
2026 general house · WA-5 — running

Committees

CONROY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$61,377	$0	3

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2024-10-18	PROJECT 218	support	$60,640	Digital Advertising
2024-09-20	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	support	$293	Progressive Voter Guide Labor
2024-07-09	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	support	$444	Progressive Voter Guide Labor

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-12-05	THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC	24K	$250

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee CONROY FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
MAHUGH, KARIN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	1	$1,000
KELLY, KELLY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	1	$1,000
QUACKENBUSH, MARIO	RETIRED · RETIRED	SPOKANE, WA	1	$500
REPASS, MICHAEL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SEATTLE, WA	1	$500
DE SA E SILVA, MARCO	DAVIS WRIGHT TREMAINE LLP · ATTORNEY	BELLEVUE, WA	1	$500
COOK, SONDRA LEE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	1	$300
MCFARLAND, J.P.	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	1	$250
GIANNINI, MARY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	3	$210
RING-NELSON, MARILYN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	2	$200
MAROLDO, THOMAS	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	WALLA WALLA, WA	2	$200
BLYKOWSKI-MAY, MONICA	VA · PHYSICIAN	SPOKANE, WA	3	$101
KIRKMAN, DAVID	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	1	$100
NELSON, ELIZABETH	LIBERTY LAKE COUPLE AND FAMILY · COUNSELOR	LIBERTY LAKE, WA	1	$100
PENNELL, BRUCE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE VALLEY, WA	1	$100
PERRY, MICHAEL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	STUDIO CITY, CA	1	$100
PHIPPS, POLLY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEWMAN LAKE, WA	1	$100
DAEHLIN, WANDA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	2	$100
GARNER, LARRY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	LIBERTY LAKE, WA	1	$100
SCHAAF, TOM	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	1	$100
HOLTER-MEHREN, PETER	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	KETTLE FALLS, WA	1	$100
JONES, DAVID	PROVIDENCE · CARDIOLOGY	PULLMAN, WA	1	$100
KINGEN, CHERYL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SPOKANE, WA	1	$100
ZORN, NANETTE D	INLAND GROUP · ADMINISTRATION	SPOKANE VALLEY, WA	1	$50
BRATTEBO, TOM	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	LIBERTY LAKE, WA	1	$50
SANFORD, JANICE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	VALLEYFORD, WA	1	$50

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

date	from	type	amount	source
2025-12-05	THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2024-10-18	PROJECT 218	supports_independently	$60,640	fec_ies
2024-09-20	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	supports_independently	$293	fec_ies
2024-07-09	TOGETHER FOR PROGRESS 2024	supports_independently	$444	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CONROY FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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