LYERLY, KRISTIN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H4WI08101
Internal id: f9bc38f9-16a0-4db0-ba42-d8a13a9ba334
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WI-08. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	742,398
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$78,966
Income	Per-capita income	$43,246
Income	In poverty	8.3%
Income	Unemployed	2.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.437
Race	White alone	84.9%
Race	Black alone	1.5%
Race	Asian alone	2.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	6.5%
Race	Two or more races	6.7%
Origin	Foreign-born	3.9%
Language	Speaks English only at home	92.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.1%
Education	High school or higher	62.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	29.7%
Education	Advanced degree	8.9%
Household	Family households	63.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.35
Household	Never married (15+)	29.4%
Housing	Median home value	$249,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$996
Housing	Single-family detached	72.2%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	12.4%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.7%
Health	With a disability	12.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.8%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.9%
Commute	Drove alone	77.6%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	11.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$5,409	$27,516	$3,502	$0	$0
2024	$2,802,202	$2,776,592	$25,609	$0	$2,662,326

Elections

2024 general house · WI-8 — lost_general

Committees

KRISTIN LYERLY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$52,436	$0	4

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC)	support	$38,478	Digital Ad Buy (Estimate)
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC)	support	$13,438	Digital Ad Production (Estimate)
2024-10-16	CITIZEN ACTION OF WISCONSIN	support	$465	Direct Mail Services
2024-10-16	CITIZEN ACTION OF WISCONSIN	support	$54	Voter Contact

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-01-26	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITI…	24K	$-2,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (5)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC)	supports_independently	$38,478	fec_ies
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC)	supports_independently	$13,438	fec_ies
2026-01-26	COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2024-10-16	CITIZEN ACTION OF WISCONSIN	supports_independently	$465	fec_ies
2024-10-16	CITIZEN ACTION OF WISCONSIN	supports_independently	$54	fec_ies

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	KRISTIN LYERLY FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

pac.dog is a free, independent, non-partisan research tool. Every candidate, committee, bill, vote, member, and nonprofit on this site is mirrored from primary U.S. government sources (FEC, congress.gov, govinfo.gov, IRS) and each state's Secretary of State / election commission — no third-party data vendors, no paywall, no editorial intermediation. Citations to the originating source are on every detail page.