MILLS, RALPH JOHN III
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6AL01136- Internal id
226aadbc-bef6-4661-9991-fed4515c17bd- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AL-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 735,406 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $66,291 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,976 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 74.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.3% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $222,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,014 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 10.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 82.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $14,162 | $15,191 | $1,029 | $105,464 | $1,662 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· AL-1 β running
Committees
- JOHN MILLS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOHN MILLS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |