BARNES, THOMAS GARY

R · house

FEC candidate id: H6AL04155
Internal id: 9f601381-8ded-4ec4-a8d0-e59fbdc30b46
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AL-04. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	727,005
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$61,167
Income	Per-capita income	$32,503
Income	In poverty	16.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.460
Race	White alone	82.1%
Race	Black alone	6.7%
Race	Asian alone	0.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	8.5%
Race	Two or more races	5.7%
Origin	Foreign-born	4.2%
Language	Speaks English only at home	92.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.4%
Education	High school or higher	54.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	21.4%
Education	Advanced degree	8.2%
Household	Family households	67.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.56
Household	Never married (15+)	26.4%
Housing	Median home value	$180,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$816
Housing	Single-family detached	70.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.1%
Housing	Vacant units	14.4%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.4%
Health	With a disability	18.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	85.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	11.8%
Commute	Drove alone	82.4%
Commute	Public transit	0.1%
Commute	Worked from home	5.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$70,132	$35,255	$34,876	$0	$63,832

Elections

2026 general house · AL-4 — running

Committees

TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-26	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$138
2026-03-18	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$183
2026-03-18	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$115
2026-03-11	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$106
2026-03-11	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$72
2026-03-04	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$112
2026-02-25	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$140
2026-02-18	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$176
2026-02-10	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	24K	$93

Connected on the graph

Inbound (9)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-03-26	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$138	pas2
2026-03-18	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$183	pas2
2026-03-18	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$115	pas2
2026-03-11	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$106	pas2
2026-03-11	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$72	pas2
2026-03-04	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$112	pas2
2026-02-25	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$140	pas2
2026-02-18	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$176	pas2
2026-02-10	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$93	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	TOMMY BARNES FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees

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