HOCEVAR, CHRISTOPHER JOHN MR. II
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6AR03144- Internal id
ede9ab89-58e5-44d8-ae3e-6a8004336ad3- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AR-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 786,435 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $74,552 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,143 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.474 |
| Race | White alone | 64.4% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 21.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 11.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 11.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.0% |
| Household | Family households | 67.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.58 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $268,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,079 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,582 | $1,433 | $149 | $0 | $569 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· AR-3 β running
Committees
- HOCEVAR FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HOCEVAR FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |