O'HALLERAN, TOM

D · house · bioguide O000171

FEC candidate id: H6AZ01199
Internal id: 92a43fb4-0f72-48e3-935c-3ad86664d17b
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	826,257
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$67,729
Income	Per-capita income	$34,854
Income	In poverty	16.6%
Income	Unemployed	6.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.458
Race	White alone	58.5%
Race	Black alone	2.4%
Race	Asian alone	1.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	18.2%
Race	Two or more races	12.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	78.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.8%
Education	High school or higher	53.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	26.2%
Education	Advanced degree	10.2%
Household	Family households	64.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.49
Household	Never married (15+)	33.2%
Housing	Median home value	$345,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,254
Housing	Single-family detached	70.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.2%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	5.1%
Housing	Vacant units	18.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.9%
Health	With a disability	16.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	85.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	11.3%
Commute	Drove alone	69.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	13.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$480	$41,960	$0	$0	$0
2022	$4,300,864	$4,322,532	$41,480	$0	$2,715,784
2020	$3,416,902	$3,359,687	$63,147	$0	$1,832,125
2018	$2,748,953	$2,760,248	$5,932	$14,384	$1,600,057
2016	$1,605,997	$1,588,705	$17,292	$72,635	$1,075,474

Elections

2016 general house · AZ-1 — won
2018 general house · AZ-1 — won
2020 general house · AZ-1 — won
2022 general house · AZ-2 — lost_general

Committees

TOM O'HALLERAN FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$762,639	$1,989,539	41

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	support	$3,000	Administrative consulting
—	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$55,000	Direct Mail
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	support	$1,332	Printing & Shipping - Estimate
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	support	$13,007	Printing & Shipping - Estimate
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	support	$7,200	Online digital ad buy & production costs
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	support	$12,069	Online digital ad buy & production costs
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	support	$36,755	Online video production costs
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$2,284	Telephone Advocacy
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$3,920	Telephone Advocacy
2022-10-29	WORKING AMERICA	support	$7,000	Digital Advertising
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$4,974	Telephone Advocacy
2022-10-28	UNITED WE CAN	support	$14,340	Estimated Cost - Radio Advertising
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$2,621	Telephone Advocacy
2022-10-27	WORKING AMERICA	support	$4,190	SMS communications
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	support	$5,000	Estimated Cost - Digital Advertising
2022-10-27	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$115,000	Direct Mail
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	support	$2,850	Estimated Cost - Digital Advertising
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	support	$566	Estimated Cost - Digital Ad Production
2022-10-26	NEW DEMOCRACY	support	$29,063	Digital Advertising/Production
2022-10-24	AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC	oppose	$35,250	Digital Advertising
2022-10-21	UNITED WE CAN	support	$4,000	Estimated Cost - Digital Advertising
2022-10-21	WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC	oppose	$1,970	Door Hangers
2022-10-21	UNITED WE CAN	support	$4,000	Estimated Cost - Digital Advertising
2022-10-21	UNITED WE CAN	support	$8,000	Revised Cost For Digital Advertising Disclosed on 10/22 24-…
2022-10-20	WORKING AMERICA	support	$1,000	Digital Advertising

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$3,000
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$36,755
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$12,068
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	24E	$1,331
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$7,200
2022-11-08	FRIENDS OF JIM CLYBURN	24K	$2,000
2022-11-08	SUNSHINE ORGANIZATION FOR TREMENDOUS OPPORTUNIT…	24K	$500
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	24A	$2,283
2022-11-07	NATIONAL LIMOUSINE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$1,000
2022-11-07	ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE ACTION FUND	24F	$2,156
2022-11-07	SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	24A	$3,919
2022-11-07	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$50
2022-11-06	CLF	24A	$1,050
2022-11-06	DEBBIE DINGELL FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-11-04	WIN THE HOUSE NOW PAC	24K	$500
2022-11-04	MAC PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	DEFEND US PAC	24A	$55,000
2022-11-03	SCHNEIDER FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-11-03	LEADING PEOPLE FORWARD PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	MCKESSON CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	DCCC	24K	$1,237
2022-11-02	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	24E	$1,331
2022-11-02	AMERICAN FINANCIAL SERVICES ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	SHORE PAC	24K	$1,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$7,200	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$12,068	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$36,755	pas2
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,331	pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$12,069	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$3,000	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$36,755	fec_ies
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$1,332	fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$7,200	fec_ies
—	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$13,007	fec_ies
—	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$55,000	fec_ies
2022-11-08	FRIENDS OF JIM CLYBURN	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-08	SUNSHINE ORGANIZATION FOR TREMENDOUS OPPORTUNITIES PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-07	ENVIRONMENTAL DEFENSE ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$2,156	pas2
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$3,920	fec_ies
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$2,283	pas2
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$3,919	pas2
2022-11-07	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$2,284	fec_ies
2022-11-07	NATIONAL LIMOUSINE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NLA PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-07	SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-06	DEBBIE DINGELL FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-06	CLF	contributed_to	$1,050	pas2
2022-11-04	MAC PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-04	WIN THE HOUSE NOW PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-03	LEADING PEOPLE FORWARD PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	SCHNEIDER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$55,000	pas2
2022-11-02	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF PEDIATRIC DENTISTRY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	SHORE PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-02	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,331	pas2
2022-11-02	DCCC	contributed_to	$1,237	pas2
2022-11-02	MCKESSON CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	AMERICAN FINANCIAL SERVICES ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	NEXTGEN CLIMATE ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$13,006	pas2
2022-11-01	CTIA - THE WIRELESS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-01	CTIA - THE WIRELESS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	CLF	contributed_to	$4,550	pas2
2022-11-01	DEMOCRACY ACTION NOW PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	AMERICA'S ESSENTIAL HOSPITALS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, (ESSENTIAL HOSPITALS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	CROPLIFE AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-10-31	VIBE PAC (VICTORY BY INVESTING BUILDING EMPOWERING)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$1,900	pas2
2022-10-31	NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-31	CLF	contributed_to	$383,114	pas2
2022-10-31	REMEDY PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-31	DOING RIGHT - RESULTS ACTION UNITY LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-10-31	CLF	contributed_to	$6,500	pas2
2022-10-31	CLF	contributed_to	$375	pas2
2022-10-31	BRIDGE THE GAP PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-30	CLF	contributed_to	$50,000	pas2
2022-10-29	WORKING AMERICA	contributed_to	$7,000	pas2
2022-10-29	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$7,000	fec_ies
2022-10-28	GRANGE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$4,974	fec_ies
2022-10-28	OC JOBS & EDUCATION	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-28	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$2,621	fec_ies
2022-10-28	EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY ACTION FUND, INC. PAC (EVERYTOWN PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-28	DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-28	UNITED WE CAN	contributed_to	$14,340	pas2
2022-10-28	MAD 4 PA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$4,974	pas2
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$2,620	pas2
2022-10-28	JIM COSTA FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-28	BARRAGAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-28	UNITED WE CAN	supports_independently	$14,340	fec_ies
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	supports_independently	$2,850	fec_ies
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	supports_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	supports_independently	$566	fec_ies
2022-10-27	JDCA PAC	contributed_to	$280	pas2
2022-10-27	COHEN FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	WORKING AMERICA	contributed_to	$4,190	pas2
2022-10-27	PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND INC PAC, DBA PLANNED PARENTHOOD FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-27	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$115,000	fec_ies
2022-10-27	RICHARD E NEAL FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-27	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$115,000	pas2
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	contributed_to	$2,850	pas2
2022-10-27	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$4,190	fec_ies
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	contributed_to	$566	pas2
2022-10-27	ONE VOICE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	UNITED WE CAN	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-26	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW DEMOCRACY PAC	contributed_to	$29,063	pas2
2022-10-26	AHORA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	NEW DEMOCRACY PAC	supports_independently	$29,063	fec_ies
2022-10-25	SERVING OUR COUNTRY (SOC) PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-25	ONLINE LENDERS ALLIANCE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (OLA PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-10-25	D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-25	D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-24	GRANGE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-24	ATN INTERNATIONAL, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ATN PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-24	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$52	pas2
2022-10-24	PAC FOR A DEMOCRATIC FUTURE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-24	AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC	opposes_independently	$35,250	fec_ies
2022-10-24	AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$35,250	pas2
2022-10-24	INLAND EMPIRE STRIKES PAC; THE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2

Outbound (19)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1049 — National Heritage Area Act of 2020	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1404 — Pascua Yaqui Tribe Land Conveyance Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1547 — Udall Park Land Exchange Completion Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 2371 — Western Area Power Administration Transparency Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 2653 — Safe Schools Improvement Act of 2019	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 2771 — Outdoor Recreation Enhancement Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 289 — GO Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 2953 — SAFER Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 4332 — Safe Schools Improvement Act of 2021	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 4402 — Safe Schools Improvement Act of 2021	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 6146 — Cottonwood Land Exchange Act of 2018	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 6434 — Japanese American World War II History Network Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 7098 — Saguaro National Park Boundary Expansion and Study Act of 2020	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 7653 — Modern Authentication of Pharmaceuticals Act of 2022	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 801 — Route 66 National Historic Trail Designation Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 943 — Never Again Education Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
—	principal_candidate_of	TOM O'HALLERAN FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
2022-07-18	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 8404 — Respect for Marriage Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2019-09-20	sponsor_of_bill	HR 4447 — Clean Economy Jobs and Innovation Act	—	sponsor	sponsorship

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