TREBLE, JONATHAN

D · house

FEC candidate id: H6AZ01298
Internal id: a93a5113-0789-4e9d-9c51-ba27433069a2
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-01. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	804,578
People	Median age	44
Income	Median household income	$99,999
Income	Per-capita income	$69,449
Income	In poverty	8.7%
Income	Unemployed	4.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.510
Race	White alone	71.9%
Race	Black alone	3.7%
Race	Asian alone	4.5%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	17.3%
Race	Two or more races	13.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	12.5%
Language	Speaks English only at home	82.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	10.2%
Education	High school or higher	67.8%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	52.5%
Education	Advanced degree	20.9%
Household	Family households	57.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.21
Household	Never married (15+)	32.3%
Housing	Median home value	$642,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,780
Housing	Single-family detached	56.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	0.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	10.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.9%
Health	With a disability	11.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	94.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.8%
Commute	Drove alone	63.1%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	26.3%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$2,482,935	$815,876	$1,667,059	$0	$1,336,617

Elections

2026 general house · AZ-1 — running

Committees

TREBLE FOR ARIZONA — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-02-18	ANIMAL PROTECTION PAC	24K	$1,000
2026-02-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$50
2026-01-18	JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS	24K	$100
2026-01-15	JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS	24K	$250
2025-10-03	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS…	24K	$2,500
2025-08-27	DEMOCRACY ON THE LINE	24K	$3,000
2025-08-27	DEMOCRACY ON THE LINE	24K	$5,000
2025-06-04	DEMOCRACY ON THE LINE	24K	$2,000

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee TREBLE FOR ARIZONA.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
TREBLE, JONATHAN	TREBLE FOR ARIZONA · CANDIDATE	SCOTTSDALE, AZ	10	$7,302
CONWAY, RONALD	SV ANGEL · INVESTOR/OWNER	BELVEDERE TIBURON, CA	2	$7,000
BAHAN, JIM	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PHOENIX, AZ	2	$5,000
BAKER, PAUL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	TUCSON, AZ	1	$3,500
BAKER, ALICE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	TUCSON, AZ	1	$3,500
CINZORI, ALLEN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	ENCINITAS, CA	1	$2,500
URDANG, SCOTT	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SCOTTSDALE, AZ	2	$2,000
ANDREWS, STEVE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SCOTTSDALE, AZ	1	$1,000
LANGER, BRUCE	EPIQ PARTNERS · FINANCIAL ADVISOR	MINNEAPOLIS, MN	1	$1,000
PARK, ROBERT	COLUMBIA STEEL SERVICES, INC. · CEO	LONGVIEW, WA	1	$1,000
PICKERING, JEANNE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	TUCSON, AZ	1	$1,000
SARKOWSKY, CATHY	SELF EMPLOYED · ARTIST	SEATTLE, WA	1	$1,000
WILBER, RICHARD	APERTURE CONSULTING · HEALTH INSURANCE BROKER	STATE COLLEGE, PA	1	$1,000
KASSER, MIKE	HOLUALOA COMPANIES · FOUNDER AND CHAIRMAN	TUCSON, AZ	1	$500
THALHIMER, ADAM	THOMPSON DAVIS & CO. · FINANCIAL ADVISOR	HENRICO, VA	1	$500
MICHELLI DE SOUZA, THAYS	UNITED AIRLINES · FLIGHT ATTENDANT	KEARNY, NJ	1	$500
CONS, PEDRO	ADELANTE HEALTHCARE · CEO	LAVEEN, AZ	1	$500
PRESCOTT, DANIEL	MARSH · INSURANCE	DALLAS, TX	1	$500
WEISBERG, CHARLES	RETIRED · RETIRED	HOUSTON, TX	1	$500
DECONCINI, PATRICK	4-D PROPERTIES LLP · REAL ESTATE	TUCSON, AZ	1	$500
LIVOLSI, TIMOTHY JR	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	WESTFIELD, NJ	1	$250
RATNER, ANTHONY	FARELLA BRAUN + MARTEL LLP · ATTORNEY	LAFAYETTE, CA	1	$250
FAGEN, MITCHELL	KATTEN MUCHIN ROSENMAN LLP · ATTORNEY	ARLINGTON, VA	1	$250
FINK, CRAIG	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PHOENIX, AZ	1	$250
HODGE, JASON	VENTURA COUNTY · FIREFIGHTER	OXNARD, CA	1	$250

Connected on the graph

Inbound (8)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-02-18	ANIMAL PROTECTION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2026-02-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2026-01-18	JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2026-01-15	JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2025-10-03	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-08-27	DEMOCRACY ON THE LINE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2025-08-27	DEMOCRACY ON THE LINE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-06-04	DEMOCRACY ON THE LINE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	TREBLE FOR ARIZONA	—		candidate_committees

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