CHAPLIK, JOSEPH
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H6AZ01454- Internal id
3fc606ef-2c71-4bb1-b461-e71be3007f38- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 804,578 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,999 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $69,449 |
| Income | In poverty | 8.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.510 |
| Race | White alone | 71.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 13.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 82.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 67.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 52.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 20.9% |
| Household | Family households | 57.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.21 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $642,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,780 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 56.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 63.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 26.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $417,471 | $151,782 | $265,689 | $250,000 | $167,471 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· AZ-1 β running
Committees
- JOSEPH CHAPLIK FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | 24E | $34 |
| 2026-03-31 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | 24E | $5,000 |
| 2026-03-31 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | 24E | $36,000 |
| 2026-03-31 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | 24E | $1,549 |
| 2026-03-25 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | 24E | $798 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (5)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $34 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $36,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $1,549 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-25 | ARIZONA QUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $798 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOSEPH CHAPLIK FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |