STUMP, BOB
R Β· house Β· bioguide S001044
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- FEC candidate id
H6AZ03112- Internal id
94ea0a1f-c432-4e34-b1f9-492a2dc5d86b- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 802,956 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $82,925 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $44,046 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.446 |
| Race | White alone | 68.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 5.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 15.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 80.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.7% |
| Household | Family households | 65.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.47 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $416,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,651 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 65.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 21.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $0 | $13,485 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $21,980 | $21,980 | $13,485 | $0 | $21,980 |
| 2016 | $0 | $0 | $13,485 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $0 | $0 | $13,485 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $0 | $0 | $13,485 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $0 | $0 | $13,485 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $0 | $0 | $13,485 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $0 | $45,000 | $13,485 | $0 | $0 |
| 2004 | $15,000 | $79,688 | $58,485 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $133,313 | $123,336 | $123,173 | $0 | $36,890 |
| 2000 | $419,796 | $377,426 | $117,909 | $0 | $188,547 |
| 1998 | $230,243 | $246,233 | $75,676 | $0 | $89,670 |
| 1996 | $244,389 | $234,597 | $90,501 | $0 | $112,885 |
| 1994 | $189,792 | $152,718 | $80,712 | $0 | $74,497 |
| 1992 | $233,476 | $303,208 | $43,638 | $0 | $79,162 |
| 1990 | $231,127 | $225,149 | $113,651 | $0 | $79,863 |
| 1988 | $257,184 | $319,690 | $107,674 | $0 | $94,670 |
| 1986 | $233,689 | $135,636 | $170,179 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $260,952 | $232,245 | $72,127 | $0 | $127,924 |
| 1982 | $280,712 | $296,458 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $134,326 | $59,902 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1982 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1984 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1986 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1988 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1990 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1992 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1994 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1996 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 1998 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 2000 general house Β· AZ-3 β won
- 2002 general house Β· AZ-2 β lost_general
- 2004 general house Β· AZ-2 β lost_general
- 2018 general house Β· AZ-8 β lost_general
Committees
- BOB STUMP ELECTION COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- BOB STUMP FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (21)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | affiliated_with | Delta Chi | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Arizona State University | β | wikidata | |
| β | educated_at | Tolleson Union High School | β | wikidata | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BOB STUMP FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BOB STUMP ELECTION COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| 2001-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1999-01-06 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1997-01-07 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1995-01-04 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1993-01-05 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1991-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1989-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1987-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1985-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1983-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1981-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1979-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1977-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1977-01-03 | held_position | United States representative | β | wikidata | |
| 1967-01-01 | held_position | member of the State Senate of Arizona | β | wikidata | |
| 1959-01-01 | held_position | member of the Arizona House of Representatives | β | wikidata |