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TUCKER, ROBB

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H6CA03174
Internal id
7d0af618-92c9-416f-bf6e-38278c0205fe
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-03. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation778,710
PeopleMedian age44
IncomeMedian household income$106,071
IncomePer-capita income$56,025
IncomeIn poverty7.8%
IncomeUnemployed5.0%
IncomeGini inequality index0.458
RaceWhite alone71.7%
RaceBlack alone1.7%
RaceAsian alone7.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino15.0%
RaceTwo or more races13.3%
OriginForeign-born11.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home84.1%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.6%
EducationHigh school or higher60.5%
EducationBachelor's or higher41.6%
EducationAdvanced degree15.1%
HouseholdFamily households68.1%
HouseholdAvg household size2.53
HouseholdNever married (15+)27.0%
HousingMedian home value$651,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,950
HousingSingle-family detached77.3%
HousingBuilt before 19402.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.6%
HousingVacant units18.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.2%
HealthWith a disability12.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband93.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.8%
CommuteDrove alone65.7%
CommutePublic transit0.7%
CommuteWorked from home22.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$70,730$26,374$44,356$61,025$10,730

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2026-03-19REFORM LEADERS PAC24E$200

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2026-03-19REFORM LEADERS PACcontributed_to$200pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofROBB TUCKER FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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