MERRELL, TREVOR
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA04230- Internal id
0296f4af-d07e-482a-a311-e1ad5e334f64- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 764,257 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $97,540 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,488 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.4% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.475 |
| Race | White alone | 56.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 32.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 17.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 69.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 22.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.4% |
| Household | Family households | 63.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.60 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $679,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,045 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $6,435 | $6,459 | $-24 | $0 | $4,766 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-4 β running
Committees
- TREVOR MERRELL FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | TREVOR MERRELL FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |