DANBOM, PAUL
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA05393- Internal id
690416b3-d0d6-4427-b916-ce4b124ad076- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,813 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $92,960 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,474 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 63.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 27.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.2% |
| Household | Family households | 69.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $491,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,698 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 77.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $20,030 | $20,030 | $0 | $0 | $30 |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-5 β running
Committees
- PAUL DANBOM FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | PAUL DANBOM FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |