DEHN, JOSEPH W III
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA14064- Internal id
d7394545-3860-4fbf-8464-623d19ba38f8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-17. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 749,526 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $182,230 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $85,924 |
| Income | In poverty | 6.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.446 |
| Race | White alone | 21.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 57.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 16.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 50.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 37.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 75.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 63.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 33.6% |
| Household | Family households | 69.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.73 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,512,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $3,052 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 44.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 7.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.0% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 7.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 96.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 58.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 26.6% |
Elections
- 1996 general house Β· CA-14 β lost_general
- 1996 general house Β· CA-17 β running
- 1998 general house Β· CA-17 β running
- 1998 general house Β· CA-14 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· CA-14 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· CA-17 β running
- 2020 general house Β· CA-17 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· CA-17 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· CA-17 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· CA-17 β running
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.