GUERRERO, RYAN R
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6CA18156- Internal id
789f0b50-b314-4b3d-aa48-f08b0cf38a91- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-18. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 753,842 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $103,584 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,617 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.449 |
| Race | White alone | 25.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 11.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 65.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 23.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 34.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 37.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 51.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 48.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.1% |
| Household | Family households | 74.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.36 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $834,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,116 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 57.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 15.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.2% |
Elections
- 2026 general house Β· CA-18 β running
Committees
- RYAN GUERRERO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | RYAN GUERRERO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |